Epidemiological modeling of online social network dynamics

Epidemiological modeling of online social network dynamics
John Cannarella, Joshua A. Spechler, arXiv, January 22, 2014
Well, this is putting your model to the predictive test. The authors write, "Extrapolating the best fit model into the future suggests that Facebook will undergo a rapid decline in the coming years, losing 80% of its peak user base between 2015 and 2017." I for one would not be surprised to see that happen. More...