21 février 2020

Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist

By Stephen Downes - Stephen's Web. Five Principles for Thinking Like a Futurist
Marina Gorbis, EDUCAUSE Review, 2019/04/11
Half of my work involves thinking like a futurist. But my approach to being a futurist is, I think, quite different from what's described in the article. For example, the first recommendation is to "forget about predictions." Why? "Nobody can predict large socio-technical transformations and what exactly these are going to look like." By analogy, "One way to think about this is to look at the difference between waves and tides. Waves are what we see on the surface... Underneath the waves is the tide, causing all kinds of disturbances of which waves are just one sign." But if you can't predict the tides, you're not much of a futurist. Being a futurist is predicting the future. Otherwise, you're an economist.
The article discusses some other facets of being a futurist. One focuses on readiness, another on finding patterns, another on signals, and another on community. All of these have to do not so much with being a futurist but rather with speaking to a particular audience. That is a core skill, but has nothing to do with futurism. Take any proposition P - some people will care about P, others won't. I can make all kinds of predictions about tomorrow, but the odds are you will not care about them. Patterns, signals, readiness, community - all these depend on salience and relevance. More...

Posté par pcassuto à 12:12 - - Permalien [#]

20 février 2020

The Edu-Decade That Was: Unfounded Optimism?

By Stephen Downes - Stephen's Web. The Edu-Decade That Was: Unfounded Optimism?
Geoff Cain, Brainstorm in Progress, 2020/01/21
I swear, I had flagged this for inclusion in the newsletter before reading all the way to the end of the post. What caught my eye was that it offered a look at the positive developments in the last decade of online learning, a welcome counterpoint to the doom and gloom we've heard from many pundits. What positive developments? Well we have cMOOCS and Connectivism, which if I may so humbly say, represented a big leap forward. We have web annotations (ok, they don't thrill me, but so what?). We have the renewed and welcome emphasis on equity and Inclusion in learning. We have data literacy (and I would add, increasing media literacy generally). We have open resources, domain of one's own, and microcredentials. More...

Posté par pcassuto à 17:28 - - Permalien [#]

14 février 2020

OPCO-AFDAS - Contrat d’études prospectives - Synthèse

Décembre 2019

Télécharger le document. Plus...

Posté par pcassuto à 23:02 - - Permalien [#]

OPCO-AFDAS - Contrat d’études prospectives

Décembre 2019

Télécharger le document. Plus...

Posté par pcassuto à 22:59 - - Permalien [#]

Predictions for Journalism 2020

By Stephen Downes - Stephen's Web. Predictions for Journalism 2020
NiemanLab, 2020/01/03
This is a long list of short contributions to a Nieman Labs special study on the future of journalism. Amid the dire predictions are suggestions about the business model, focus on content, focus on specific issues, format changes, and maybe even the rise of blogcasting. From my own perspective, I think I've found a good formula for doing journalism in this newsletter, but I don't know how I would make it pay if I had to leave my day job. More...

Posté par pcassuto à 15:21 - - Permalien [#]

Top 12 Technologies Innovations by 2025

By Stephen Downes - Stephen's Web. Top 12 Technologies Innovations by 2025
Most of these technologies are reasonable projections - some of them, like carbon management, are absolute necessities. I will say, though, I'm less sanguine about nanotechnology - not because I'm afraid of being infested by billions of tiny robots (that doesn't bother me a bit) but because I think quantuum phenomena may make nanotechnology a bit further out of reach than we think. More...

Posté par pcassuto à 09:14 - - Permalien [#]

02 février 2020

Shifting public and private finance towards the Sustainable Development Goals

The Goals identify the areas in which resources are most needed. But with the realisation that meeting the Goals by 2030 would require filling an annual financing gap of 2.5 trillion dollars, the Addis Ababa Action Agenda (AAAA) called upon a broader mobilisation of resources, including private ones. More...

Posté par pcassuto à 01:23 - - Permalien [#]

Can aid help countries avoid the middle-income trap?

Most aid agencies have tried to articulate a “middle-income” strategy for how to support client countries that are no longer poor. For example, see the Asian Development Bank Strategy 2030 and the World Bank’s approach to middle-income countries. More...

Posté par pcassuto à 01:22 - - Permalien [#]

01 février 2020

En direct de l’école du futur ! Edtechs, oui… mais

http://blog.educpros.fr/fiorina/wp-content/themes/longbeach_jfiorina/longbeach/images/img01.jpgBlog Educpros de Jean-François Fiorina. Jolt, start-up implantée en Israël, aux USA et en UK, lève 14 M$ en Série A pour développer son offre de formation online au management « Not a MBA ». S’étalant sur une durée de 8 à 24 mois, le programme de formation serait facturé 175 $ par mois. Plus...

Posté par pcassuto à 00:56 - - Permalien [#]